Responsive image
博碩士論文 etd-0818108-035911 詳細資訊
Title page for etd-0818108-035911
論文名稱
Title
增值指數基金績效分析-創新「多剖面調整」建構模型
Performance Analysis of Enhanced Index Funds – The Innovative "Multi-section Adjustment" Building Model
系所名稱
Department
畢業學年期
Year, semester
語文別
Language
學位類別
Degree
頁數
Number of pages
70
研究生
Author
指導教授
Advisor
召集委員
Convenor
口試委員
Advisory Committee
口試日期
Date of Exam
2008-07-27
繳交日期
Date of Submission
2008-08-18
關鍵字
Keywords
固定參數模型、增值指數基金、多剖面調整、績效分析、浮動參數模型
performance analysis, multi-section adjustment, enhanced index fund, fixed parameter model, floating parameters model
統計
Statistics
本論文已被瀏覽 5818 次,被下載 2816
The thesis/dissertation has been browsed 5818 times, has been downloaded 2816 times.
中文摘要
增值指數基金為指數型基金的一種,結合主動式與被動式的管理元素,利用擇時、選股或是槓桿的方式,使基金獲得比標竿指數更高的報酬。增值型指數基金在國外已發展出相當的規模,然臺灣目前卻僅有「寶來台灣高股息基金」一檔增值指數基金。以臺灣股票市場介於弱勢與半強勢效率市場的特性,配合臺灣共同基金產業規模的攀升,增值指數基金未來很有機會成為退休基金、機構法人、指數投資人主要的投資工具,相當具有開發空間與價值。因此本研究嘗試自行建構增值指數型基金,檢視增值指數基金在臺灣市場的績效與可行性。
本研究以臺灣50指數為追蹤之標竿指數,採用自行設計之「多剖面調整模型(Multi-Section Adjustment Model)」,將標竿指數成分股的原始權重拆解成兩個剖面,分別利用參數進行主動式調整。兩個剖面各有其功能性,多因子剖面負責創造增值報酬,現金股利率剖面則用來提供比標竿指數更高的現金殖利率。本研究設定之投資目標為年化追蹤誤差低於1.5%、年化增值報酬至少1%、現金股利率高於標竿指數。
建構方式依參數更新頻率可分為固定參數模型與浮動參數模型。實證研究結
果顯示:(一)固定參數模型建構的增值指數基金,不僅風險略低於標竿指數,報酬也比標竿指數來得高。(二)浮動參數模型短期追蹤績效較難掌握,但若將樣本外期間視為一個完整投資期間,投資風險將比臺灣50指數更低,報酬率更高,累積報酬率則比固定參數模型低了約2%。(三)研究中用來控制權重分配的最適化參數,有效性會隨時間經過而降低,參數的定期更新有其必要性。(四)提高增值乘數雖會造成更高的追蹤誤差,但也可以會帶來更高的增值報酬,證明多因子模型剖面在主動式調整的可行性與貢獻性。(五)剖面參數與固定率越低時,會有越多的權重依殖利率高低分配,結果的確能獲得較高的現金股利率,證明現金股利率剖面確實有其功用。(六)浮動參數模型定期更新參數的方法有效降低追蹤誤差,同時保有目標水準以上的增值報酬,考量實務上基金的壽命後,浮動參數模型應是較好的建構方式。
「多剖面調整模型」具有以下三個優點:(一)概念簡單、操作容易。(二)可依據投資目標設計剖面。(三)便於對參數的功用與特性進行分析。
Abstract
"Enhanced index fund" is an investment strategy, combining active and passive management elements, for index tracking and return enhancing through disciplined market timing, stock selection and leverage activities. Though enhanced index funds have been well developed globally, there is only one enhanced index fund in Taiwan - "Polaris/P-Shares Taiwan Dividend+ ETF". Taiwan's stock market falls between weak form and semi-strong form efficiency. With the growth of Taiwan's mutual fund industry size, the enhanced index funds have very good chance to become the main investment instruments of institutional investors, index investors, and pensions. This study attempts to build enhanced index funds, then analyzes the performance and checks the feasibility of launching such products in Taiwan.
In this study, we select "TSEC Taiwan 50 index (TW50)" as the benchmark index. The innovative "Multi-section Adjustment Model" divides the original weights of constituent stocks into two sections. Each section is adjusted through parameters. The "multi-factor model section" is responsible for the delivery of enhanced return, while the "cash dividend yield section" is used to provide excess cash dividend yield. The investment target is set for less than 1.5 percent tracking error, at least 1 percent tracking difference, and higher cash dividend yield than the benchmark.
Building methodology can be divided into "fixed parameter model" and "floating parameters model" according to its update frequency. Empirical studies show that: (1) The enhanced index fund built from the "fixed parameter model" not only exhibits risk slightly lower than the benchmark, but also enjoys higher return. (2) In the short-term, the performance of the enhanced index fund built from "floating parameters model" is difficult to predict; in the long-term, however, the risk is lower and the return is higher than TW50. The cumulative return from the "fixed parameter model" is higher than the "floating parameters model" by about 2 percent. (3) The effectiveness of the parameters used to control the optimal weight distribution is decreasing over time, so it is necessary to update parameters regularly. (4) Raising "enhancement multiplier" will cause higher tracking error, but also bring higher tracking difference. This result proves that "multi-factor model section" works nicely and has its contribution. (5) As the "section allotment" and/or "fixed rate" getting lower, there will be more and more weights distributed to the cash dividend yield level, resulting in higher cash dividend yield. It means the "cash dividend yield section" has its merit as well. (6) Regular parameter updates to the "floating parameters model" helps to reduce the tracking error and, at the same time, maintain positive tracking difference. Considering the perpetual life of real world funds, "floating parameters model" should be a better building methodology.
"Multi-Section Adjustment Model" has following advantages: (1) Its concept is intuitive and easy to use. (2) Sections can be customized based on investment objectives. (3) It is easy to analyze the impacts and trade-off among the parameters.
目次 Table of Contents
第一章 緒論 1
第一節 研究動機 1
第二節 研究目的 2
第三節 研究架構 3
第二章 文獻探討 4
第一節 主動式與被動式操作基金 4
第二節 指數型基金建構方式 6
第三節 增值指數基金8
第三章 研究方法 11
第一節 標竿指數 11
第二節 績效評估指標 12
第三節 增值指數基金之建構與調整 14
第四節 資料來源 26
第四章 實證結果分析 27
第一節 固定參數模型 27
第二節 浮動參數模型 38
第五章 結論與建議 45
參考文獻 48
附錄 51
參考文獻 References
中文部分
1. 楊智元(1995),「台灣指數型基金之組成方式與績效評估」,國立台灣大學財務金融所碩士論文。
2. 黃冠文(2001),「加值指數型基金之探討-期貨加上現金的加值方法」,國立政治大學財務管理所碩士論文。
3. 張菁惠(2001),「指數基金在台灣發行之可行性研究」,國立中山大學財務管理所碩士論文。
4. 陳志民(2001),「選股與衍生性策略超額報酬之研究」,國立政治大學企業管理所碩士論文。
5. 邱俊義(2002),「台灣產業類指數型基金-電子業為例」,國立中山大學財務管理所碩士論文。
6. 白惠琦(2002),「指數基金追蹤模型的最佳化」,國立政治大學應用數學所碩士論文。
7. 楊芯純(2003),「大中取小法建立最佳投資組合」,國立政治大學應用數學所碩士論文。
8. 鄭義與張菁惠(2004),「投資組合追蹤誤差之探討」,《貨幣觀測與信用評等》,50,12-18。
9. 李建興、彭琪祿與施仁貴(2005),「以限制追蹤誤差方式建構增長型指數基金:以台灣50指數為例」,《金融風險管理季刊》,民94,第一卷,第三期。

英文部分
1. Ammann, M. and H. Zimmermann (2001) ,"Tracking error and tactical asset allocation,"Journal of Financial Analysis, 57 (2), 32-43.
2. Andrews, C., D. Ford & K. Mallison (1986),"The design of index funds and alternative replication," The Investment Analysis, October, 16-23.
3. Carhart, M. M. (1997),“On persistence in mutual fund performance," Journal of Finance, 52(1), 57-82.
4. Chen, R. C., C. F. Lee, S. Rahman and A. Chan(1992), "A cross-sectional analysis of mutual funds' market timing and security selection skill," Journal of Business Finance and Accounting, 19, 659-675.
5. Collins, B. M. and F. J. Fabozzi (1989), "Portfolio and Investment Management," Probus Publishing Company, 183-200
6. Collins, B. M. and F. J. Fabozzi (1990),"Considerations in selecting small capitalization-benchmark," Financial Analysts Journal, 46(1), 40-46.
7. Elton, E. J., M. J. Gruber, S. Das and M. Hlavka(1993), "Efficiency with costly information: a reinterpretation of evidence from managed portfolios," Review of Financial Studies, 6 (1), 1-22.
8. Fabozzi, F. J. and J. C. Francis (1979), "Mutual fund systematic risk for bull and bear markets : an empirical examination," Journal of Finance, 34, 1243-1250.
9. Fabozzi, F. J. (1989), "Portfolio and Investment Management State-of-the Art Research, Analysis and Strategies ," Probus Publishing Company.
10. Goodwin, T. H. (1998), "The information ratio,"Financial Analysts Journal, 54(4), 34-43.
11. Grinold, R. C. and R. N. Kahn (1995), "Active portfolio management," Chicago: Probus Publishing Company.
12. Harless, D. W. and S. P. Peterson (1998), "Investor behavior and the persistence of poorly performing mutual fund," Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, 37 (3), 257-276.
13. Jensen, M. C. (1968), "The performance of mutual funds in the period 1945-1964," Journal of Finance, 23 (2), 89-416.
14. Jorion, P. (2002), "Enhanced index funds and tracking error optimization," Working paper, University of California at Irvine.
15. Jorion, P. (2003), "Portfolio optimization with tracking-error constraints," Financial Analysts Journal, 59 (5), 70-82.
16. Malkiel, B.G. (1995), "Return from investing in equity mutual fund 1971 to 1991," Journal of Finance, 50 (2), 679-698.
17. Meade, N. and G. R. Salkin (1989), "Index funds construction and performance measurement," Journal of the Operational Research Society, 40, 871-879.
18. Meckel, T. S. and T. Miller (1999), "Beating index funds with derivatives, " Journal of Portfolio Management, 25 (5), 75-87.
19. Neal, G. S. (1999), "Inside an enhanced index fund," Journal of Financial Planning, 12 (4), 64-68.
20. Orito, Y., H. Yamamoto and G.. Yamazaki (2003), "Index fund selections with genetic algorithms and heuristic classifications," Computers and Industrial Engineering, 45 (1), 97-109.
21. Riepe, M. W. and M. D. Werner (1998), "Are enhanced index mutual funds worthy of their name?" Journal of Investing, 18 (3), 6-15.
22. Roll, R. (1992), "A mean-variance analysis of tracking error," Journal of Portfolio Management, 18, 13-22.
23. Rudd, A. (1980), "Optimal selection of passive portfolios," Financial Management, 4, 57-66.
24. Taylor, J. (2004), "A note on closet-indexing," Journal of Economics and Business, 56 (6), 431-441.
25. Treynor, J. L. and F. Black (1973), "How to use security analysis to improve portfolio selection," Journal of Business, 46 (1), 66-86.
26. Treynor, J. and K. Mazuy (1996), "Can mutual funds outguess the market? " Harvard Business Review, 44, 131-136.
27. Viet, E. T. and J. M. Cheney (1982), "Are mutual funds market timer?" Journal of Portfolio Management, 8 (2), 35-42.
28. 許閔翔(2008),"Stock Selection Performance Analysis using Multi-Factor Model in Taiwan",國立中山大學財務管理所碩士論文。
電子全文 Fulltext
本電子全文僅授權使用者為學術研究之目的,進行個人非營利性質之檢索、閱讀、列印。請遵守中華民國著作權法之相關規定,切勿任意重製、散佈、改作、轉貼、播送,以免觸法。
論文使用權限 Thesis access permission:校內校外完全公開 unrestricted
開放時間 Available:
校內 Campus: 已公開 available
校外 Off-campus: 已公開 available


紙本論文 Printed copies
紙本論文的公開資訊在102學年度以後相對較為完整。如果需要查詢101學年度以前的紙本論文公開資訊,請聯繫圖資處紙本論文服務櫃台。如有不便之處敬請見諒。
開放時間 available 已公開 available

QR Code