本研究以Gordon-Schaefer模型為基礎，利用聯合國糧食及農業組織(FAO)所統計之1983年~2007年西南大西洋阿根廷魷漁獲數據，對阿根廷魷進行資源評估。首先推算出開放式漁場及淨現值極大化漁場的均衡值，並加以比較；接著推算出歷年來阿根廷魷資源量；再將統計數據與兩個漁場模型之均衡值比較，其結果顯示出目前阿根廷魷資源未有耗竭的危機，但是尚未達到最適的開發；接著以敏感度分析，瞭解各參數值變動對兩個漁業模型之均衡資源量及努力量的影響；最後分別模擬開放式漁場及淨現值極大化漁場兩個模型之資源量，其結果顯示漁場若不加以管理而無限制的開採，未來資源將會耗竭，如能有效的管制漁場，資源將能得到一永續的發展。

This research is based on Gordon-Schaefer model, using the statistic data from the FAO between 1983 to 2007 to conduct an assessment on Argentine shortfin squid, Illex argentinus. First of all, calculate and compare the equilibrium levels of open access fishery and present value maximization fishery, then evaluate the stock size of Illex argentinus and compare the equilibrium levels of two models with the statistic readings, the result shows that Illex argentinus has no sign of depletion, but it has not yet reached the best status for development. By using sensitivity analysis,we understand the changes on the effort and stock effected by varying different parameters. Finally, by simulating the stock size of open access fishery and present value maximization fishery, we find that unrestricted developing can end up the resources, but Illex argentinus will receive sustainable development, if it can be effectively managed.

第一章 緒論1
第一節 研究動機與背景1
第二節 研究目的與方法2
第三節 研究範圍3
第四節 研究架構4
第二章 文獻回顧5
第一節 阿根廷魷之生態特性5
第二節 阿根廷魷漁業之概況6
第三節 文獻整理7
第三章 理論模型與研究方法11
第一節 Gordon-Schaefer模型理論基礎11
第二節 開放式漁場的動態模型13
第三節 淨現值極大化模型14
第四節 比較靜態分析17
第五節 漁獲係數、內生成長率及環境最大容載量之推
估方法25
第四章 實證研究分析28
第一節 資料來源與處理28
第二節 實證結果32
第三節 敏感度分析36
第四節 模擬分析43
第五章 結論與建議48
第一節 結論48
第二節 建議50
參考文獻51
中文部分51
英文部份51
網路部分53
附錄54

一、中文部分
「台灣地區遠洋魷釣暨秋刀棒受網漁獲統計年報」，中華民國對外漁業合作發展協會、行政院農委會漁業署，1998年至2007年。
王忠道、鄭基(2001)，「阿根廷-福克蘭外海漁場魷釣生產技術」，海洋漁業，第23卷第2期，第74頁至第77頁。
林報儉(2007)，「台灣遠洋魷釣漁業產業調適之研究」，國立臺灣海洋大學應用經濟研究所碩士學位論文。
柯欣瑋(2007)，「西南大西洋阿根廷魷資源現況簡介」，國際漁業資訊，第172期，第37頁至第46頁，國立台灣海洋大學、中華民國對外漁業合作發展協會。
陳新軍、錢衛國、劉必林、田思泉等(2008)，「利用衰減模型評估柔魚西部冬春生群體資源」，海洋湖沼通報，第二期，第130頁至第140頁。
張煒、張健(2008)，「阿根廷滑柔魚漁場與主要海洋環境因子關係探討」，上海水產大學學報，第17卷第4期，第471頁至第475頁。
二、英文部分
Arkhipkin A. I. (1999), “Intrapopulation Structure of Winter-Spawned Argentine Shortfin Squid, Illex argentinus, during Its Feeding Period over the Patagonian Shelf,” Fisheries Bulletin 98: 1-13.
Brunetti N., M. Ivanovic, G. Rossi, B. Elena, S. Pineda. (1998), “Fishery Biology and Life History of Illex argentines,” In T Okutani, ed. Contributed Papers to
International Symposium on Large Pelagic Squid. Tokyo: Japan Marine Fishery Resources Research Center, 217-232.
Chen C.S., T.S. Chiu, W.B. Haung (2007), “Spatial and Temporal Patterns of the Argentine Short-Finned Squid, Illex argentinus, Abundances in the Southwest
Atlantic and the Effects of Environmental Influences,” Zoological Studies 46(1): 111-122.
Chen C.S., W.B. Haung, T.S. Chiu (2007), “Different Spatiotemporal Distribution of Argentine Short-Finned Squid (Illex argentinus) in the Southwest Atlantic during High-Abundance Year and Its Relationship to Sea Water Temperature Changes,” Zoological Studies 46(3): 362-374.
Roper C.F.E., M.J. Sweeney, C.E. Nauen. (1984), “FAO Species Catalogue Vol. 3.- Cephalopods of the world - An Annotated and Illustrated Catalogue of Species of
Interest to Fisheries”, FAO Fisheries Synopsis 125(3).
FAO(2002), “The State of World Fisheries and Aquaculture 2002” - Sofia, Rome, Italy, 150p.
Htanaka, H.( 1986), “Growth and Life Span of Short-Finned Squid, Illex argentinus, in the Waters off Argentina,” Bulletin of the Japanese Society of Scientific Fisheries, 52: 11-17.
Marine Resources Service Fishery Resources Division FAO Fisheries Department. (2005), “Review of the State of the World Marine Fishery Resources,” FAO Fisheries Technical Paper, No.457.
Rosenberg A.A., G.P. Kirkwood, J.A. Crombie, J.R. Beddington (1990), “The Assessment of Stocks of Annual Squid Species,” Fisheries research, 8, 335-349.
Mazurek R. (2006), “Seafood Watch - Seafood Report - International Squid,” Fisheries Research Analyst - Monterey Bay Aquarium.
Rodhouse P.G., E.G. Dawe, R.K. O’Dor (1998), “Squid Recruitment Dynamics-The Genus Illex as a Model, the Commercial Illex Species and Influence Variability,” FAO Fisheries Technical Paper, No. 376.
Sato, T., H. Hatanaka (1983), “A Review of Assessment of Japanese Distant -water Fisheries for Cephalopods. In J.F. CADDY, ed. Advances in Assessment of World Cephalopod Rresources,” FAO Fisheries Technical Paper No. 231, 145-180, Rome.
Miao S., J. Jong, C.T. Huang (2006), “Economic Analysis on Management of TAC Regarding Sakura Shrimp Fishery,” Journal of the Fisheries Society of Taiwan, 33(1): 35-43.
Chen S.R., W.C. Su., C.H. Ho, Y.S. Chow(1998), “Estimation the Stock Size and Fishing Mortality of Sakura Shrimp, Sergia Iucnes Hansen, off Southwestern Taiwan with Leslie's Method,” Journal of the Fisheries Society of Taiwan, 25(2): 101-109.
三、網路部分
行政院農業委員會漁業署
http://www.fa.gov.tw/chn/index.php
台灣區遠洋魷漁船漁類輸出同業公會
http://squid.etaiwanfish.com/mainindex.htm
聯合國糧食及農業組織(FAO)
http://www.fao.org/
FAO - Fisheries and Aquaculture Department - Fishery Statistical Collections
http://www.fao.org/fishery/statistics/global-capture-production/query/en
FAO - Species Fact Sheets
http://www.fao.org/fishery/species/3565