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博碩士論文 etd-0905106-110311 詳細資訊
Title page for etd-0905106-110311
論文名稱
Title
利用決策法則探勘顧客特徵-以高雄地區飯店住宿顧客為例
Using Decision Rules to Identify the Customer Features– A Case Study of Hotel Customers in Kaohsiung City, Taiwan
系所名稱
Department
畢業學年期
Year, semester
語文別
Language
學位類別
Degree
頁數
Number of pages
69
研究生
Author
指導教授
Advisor
召集委員
Convenor
口試委員
Advisory Committee
口試日期
Date of Exam
2006-07-28
繳交日期
Date of Submission
2006-09-05
關鍵字
Keywords
資料探勘、決策法則、顧客特徵、套裝住宿專案、國際觀光飯店
hotel package, international tourist hotel, data mining, customer features, decision rule
統計
Statistics
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中文摘要
國際觀光飯店產業在今日已是一個專業的經營領域,必需針對產業的經營特性、市場的需求及消費者的喜好來發展,而不是守株待兔般的等著顧客上門。藉由資料探勘的技術,有助於發現顧客的特徵,幫助飯店做出正確的決策,也可利用顧客特徵來制定行銷策略,主動爭取顧客,使企業處於更有利的競爭位置。
在顧客的消費行為背後,往往隱含某種特殊的需求,但由交易的資料中,僅能得知顧客的需求量,而未能判斷出隱含的資訊。所以本研究利用資料探勘的技術,對飯店近三年來的顧客之歷史資料進行探勘,利用前兩年的顧客資料建立決策法則,並以決策法則描述選用不同的套裝住宿專案之高房價顧客的特徵,再利用一年的顧客資料來驗證其可行性,希望能藉此將累積了許多與顧客相關的寶貴資料轉化成企業的知識。其結果顯示,藉由決策法則所描述的目標顧客之特徵,經測試資料驗證,呈現出不錯的效果,這將可有效的輔助行銷人員制定行銷活動,提升飯店的競爭優勢。
Abstract
International tourist hotel industry has becoming a professional management domain nowadays. Due to the increasingly fierce competition, hotels must develop ways to attract customers by meeting their market requirements and preferences, rather than waiting passively for the customers to come. With data mining technology, the hotels can facilitate the discovered characteristics of potential customers to make the right marketing strategies and decisions by targeting at specific groups of customers.
Behind the consumers’ behaviors, there are usually indicators for special consuming requirements. However, by browsing the business transaction data, one can usually learn only the consuming requirement volume and is unable to determine the implied and hidden information. This research makes use of data mining technology to explore the customers’ historical data. Specifically, it applies the discovered decision rule to investigate and validate the characteristics of potentially customers — customers who are more likely to book rooms of higher rate. We apply the data mining techniques to the transactional data of a hotel, collected over three years. Our research reveals that there exist characteristics rules for the potential customers and these rules do not change abruptly over the years. The application of these rules to target advertising in hotel domain is verified using the hotel transaction data collected in the subsequent year. The result shows that by targeting at customers of the discovered characteristics rules, higher response rate can be achieved.
目次 Table of Contents
第一章、緒論 1
第一節、研究背景 1
第二節、研究動機 3
第三節、研究目的 5
第四節、研究範圍與限制 6
第二章、文獻探討 8
第一節、飯店之定義與經營特性 8
第二節、套裝行銷之定義 10
第三節、知識發現與資料探勘 14
第四節、資料探勘的功能 18
第五節、分類分析技術 20
第六節、決策樹 22
第七節、非對稱性資料分配 26
第八節、資料探勘在飯店業之應用 28
第三章、研究方法 32
第一節、決定資料探勘的目的與技術 32
第二節、資料來源 33
第三節、資料選擇 34
第四節、資料預先處理 36
第五節、資料轉換 38
第六節、特徵項目的挑選 39
第七節、分類分析 40
第四章、實証評估 45
第一節、顧客行為特徵的決策法則 45
第二節、解釋與評估 51
第五章、結論 55
第一節、研究結論 55
第二節、未來研究方向 57
參考文獻 59
參考文獻 References
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