Responsive image
博碩士論文 etd-0526117-235300 詳細資訊
Title page for etd-0526117-235300
論文名稱
Title
政府補貼新鮮人工資的總體效果
The Macroeconomic Effects of Government Subsidy to Entry-Level Jobs
系所名稱
Department
畢業學年期
Year, semester
語文別
Language
學位類別
Degree
頁數
Number of pages
44
研究生
Author
指導教授
Advisor
召集委員
Convenor
口試委員
Advisory Committee
口試日期
Date of Exam
2017-06-09
繳交日期
Date of Submission
2017-06-27
關鍵字
Keywords
低工資、工資補貼、財政調整、動態隨機一般均衡模型、社會新鮮人
fiscal adjustment, wage subsidy, low wage, entry-level worker, dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model
統計
Statistics
本論文已被瀏覽 5758 次,被下載 529
The thesis/dissertation has been browsed 5758 times, has been downloaded 529 times.
中文摘要
近年來,臺灣新鮮人處在低工資水準的環境,而工資補貼是政府考慮實施的政策之一。本文藉由動態隨機一般均衡 (DSGE)模型探討工資補貼政策的成效性及總體效果。結果發現,短期工資補貼政策雖然可使社會新鮮人所得上升,且整體社會產出增加。但由於補貼是由政府舉債支出,在政策結束後,因為負債的調整尚未結束,政府為穩定債務須持續進行財政調整。當政府將非社會新鮮人所得稅調高,非社會新鮮人會降低投資及勞動意願,而造成整體經濟的產出及消費水準衰退,使得該政策在中長期有負面的總體效果。
Abstract
In recent years, entry-level workers have faced with low-wage problem in Taiwan. Wage subsidy is one of the government's policies to address the problem. By applying a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model, this paper analyzes the policy of government subsidy to entry-level jobs, shows that the output and entry-level workers' income increase in the short run. As the wage subsidy effect declines over time, the effects of fiscal adjustments dominate in later years. The model has the tax rate of nonentry-level workers as a fiscal adjustment instrument. Because of the higher tax rate, nonentry-level workers decrease their labor supply and investment, which lowers output to below the steady state level.
目次 Table of Contents
中文摘要. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . i
英文摘要. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ii
第1 章緒論. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1
第2 章文獻回顧. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3
第3 章基準模型. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6
3.1 家計單位. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6
3.1.1 非社會新鮮人. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6
3.1.2 社會新鮮人. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7
3.2 廠商. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8
3.3 政府. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9
3.4 總和條件與市場結清. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11
第4 章參數設定. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13
4.1 參考各文獻中的參數設定. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13
4.2 藉由各項統計數據來設定或計算參數值. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13
4.3 自行設定參數使模型簡化. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14
第5 章結果分析. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16
5.1 基準模型分析. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16
5.2 福利分析. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17
5.3 比較使用不同變數的財政調整效果. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18
5.4 比較新鮮人的效用加入勞動所得效果的差異. . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19
第6 章結論. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21
參考文獻. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29
附錄. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31
參考文獻 References
吳致寧、王學謙, 1994. 政府支出與實質景氣循環-臺灣之實證研究. 經濟論文
22 (2), 175–209.
管中閔、印永祥、姚睿、黃朝熙、徐之強、陳宜廷, 2010. 台灣動態隨機一般均衡
模型(DSGE) 建立與政策評估. 行政院經建會.
Aguiar, M., Gopinath, G., 2007. Emerging market business cycles: The cycle is the trend.
Journal of Political Economy 115, 69–102.
Brown, A. J., Merkl, C., Snower, D. J., 2011. Comparing the effectiveness of employment
subsidies. Labour Economics 18, 168–179.
Davidson, C., 1995. Wage-rate subsidies for dislocated workers. Working Paper No. 95-
31, Upjohn Institute.
Elder, S., 2010. Global Employment Trends for Youth. International Labour Organization,
Geneva.
Elder, S., 2015. Global Employment Trends for Youth. International Labour Organization,
Geneva.
Go, D. S., Kearney, M., Korman, V., Robinson, S., Thierfelder, K., 2009. Wage subsidy
and labor market flexibility in South Africa. Working Paper No. 4871, The World Bank.
Greenwood, J., Hercowitz, Z., Huffman, G. W., 1988. Investment, capacity utilization,
and the real business cycle. The American Economic Review 78 (3), 402–417.
Hotz, V. J., 2001. The earned income tax credit. Working Paper No. 8078, National Bureau
of Economic Research.
Houndonougbo, A. N., Mohsin, M., 2016. Macroeconomic effects of cost equivalent business
fiscal incentives. Economic Modelling 56, 59–65.
Huttunen, K., Pirttilä, J., Uusitalo, R., 2013. The employment effects of low-wage subsidies.
Journal of Public Economics 97, 49–60.
Katz, L. F., 1996. Wage subsidies for the disadvantaged. Working Paper No. 5679, National
Bureau of Economic Research.
King, R. G., Plosser, C. I., Rebelo, S. T., 1988. Production, growth and business cycles:
Technical appendix. Journal of Monetary Economics 21, 195–232.
Liu, Z., Spiegel, M. M., 2015. Optimal monetary poilicy and capital account restrictions
in a small open economy. IMF Economic Review 63 (2), 298–324.
Richardson, J., 1997. Wage Subsidies for the Long Term Unemployed: A Search Theoretic
Analysis. Centre for Economic Performance, London School of Economics and
Political Science.
Richardson, J., 1998. Do Wage Subsidies Enhance Employability? Evidence from Australian
Youth. Centre for Economic Performance, London School of Economics and
Political Science, London.
Robertson, H., 1994. Wage Subsidies to Encourage the Hiring of Unemployment Insurance
Claimants. Human resources Development Canada.
Shaviro, D., 1997. The minimum wage, the earned income tax credit, and optimal subsidy
policy. The University of Chicago Law Review 64 (2), 405–481.
Sims, C. A., 2001. Solving linear rational expectations models. Journal of Computational
Economics 20, 1–20.
電子全文 Fulltext
本電子全文僅授權使用者為學術研究之目的,進行個人非營利性質之檢索、閱讀、列印。請遵守中華民國著作權法之相關規定,切勿任意重製、散佈、改作、轉貼、播送,以免觸法。
論文使用權限 Thesis access permission:校內校外完全公開 unrestricted
開放時間 Available:
校內 Campus: 已公開 available
校外 Off-campus: 已公開 available


紙本論文 Printed copies
紙本論文的公開資訊在102學年度以後相對較為完整。如果需要查詢101學年度以前的紙本論文公開資訊,請聯繫圖資處紙本論文服務櫃台。如有不便之處敬請見諒。
開放時間 available 已公開 available

QR Code