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博碩士論文 etd-0606115-115133 詳細資訊
Title page for etd-0606115-115133
論文名稱
Title
海洋再生能源環境影響與經濟評估決策系統 ─ 以澎湖發展海洋再生能源為例
Decision Support Model on Environmental Impact and Economic Evaluation for Marine Renewable Energy – Case Study on Penghu Archipelago
系所名稱
Department
畢業學年期
Year, semester
語文別
Language
學位類別
Degree
頁數
Number of pages
160
研究生
Author
指導教授
Advisor
召集委員
Convenor
口試委員
Advisory Committee
口試日期
Date of Exam
2015-02-13
繳交日期
Date of Submission
2015-07-06
關鍵字
Keywords
成本效益分析、環境影響評估、海上平台、決策支援系統、海洋再生能源
Cost-benefit analysis, Environmental impact assessment, Marine platform, Marine renewable energy, Decision support model
統計
Statistics
本論文已被瀏覽 5767 次,被下載 1186
The thesis/dissertation has been browsed 5767 times, has been downloaded 1186 times.
中文摘要
為合理運用海洋資源,當前歐盟國家積極開發包含能源、遊憩、養殖與交通四類海上平台,其中能源型海上平台係指離岸風田、海洋溫差發電、波浪發電與潮流能轉換等四種海洋再生能源開發過程中建設的平台裝置。臺灣亦在「能源產業技術白皮書」中明訂此四類能源之短、中、長期發展期程,表明我國在海洋再生能源方面已著手進行相關之建設規劃與評估。然而開發可能造成的建設污染、生態棲地衝擊等負面影響;以及可能有提供減少溫室氣體排放、燃料節約等正面環境影響,在傳統成本效益分析中可能未能客觀地將其納入考量。
因此本研究應用環評之理論與概念,藉由國內外相關能源型海上平台之文獻及案例,透過操作環境成本效益分析將物理環境、自然生態與社會經濟之因子綜合評估,確實了解開發海洋再生能源之實值損益並初步建立環境影響與經濟評估決策系統,除提供開發能源型海上平台環境影響評估可能改進之處,以及建立相關之環境影響評估機制外,亦能作為決策者與權益關係人之參考,期望對臺灣發展海洋再生能源有正面之助益。
研究之特點在於將能源型海上平台之環境影響以成本效益之方式呈現,並能以數據模擬操作不同測試點位、能源型態、限制條件等情境下,各項環境正負面因子以及利潤上不同之影響。
其中針對澎湖發展離岸風電、波浪發電與潮流能轉換之環境影響評估結果,本研究透過模式顯示:在折現率5.25%至9.75%之情境下益本比俱超過1─亦即計畫具有可行性。但不可忽視該計畫可能造成環境負面成本,其中每一項數據都代表著對環境與物種的危害,應盡量減少或嘗試降低。
Abstract
In order to make good use of marine resourses, European Union (EU) has a great interest in developing marine platform including renewable energy, tourism, aquaculture and transportation. Marine renewable energy platform refers to construction of offshore wind farms, ocean thermal energy conversion, tidal and currents energy conversion and wave energy conversion. Taiwan has explicitly scheduled these in “White Paper on energy industries” as well, which means that there have some relevant projects already been planned. The installations will likely result in negative influence on natural habitat and pollution, or positive benefits such as reducing emission of greenhouse gas and fuel saving, but these effects won’t be estimated properly into traditional cost-benefit analysis(CBA).
This study applied environmental impact assessment (EIA) theory to compute the real value of all the factors that mentioned within marine renewable energy projects and cases. Using environmental CBA within decision support model, my study provides some recommendations regarding future constructs, establishes EIA framework, and can be seen as a consultant to decision maker and stakeholders.
The model constructed in this study can worth the value of every environmental cost-benefit factors and profits under different type, sites and limited circumstances of marine renewable energy installations.
I analyze the offshore wind farms, tidal currents energy conversion and wave energy conversion projects form discount rate 5.25% to 9.75% under parameters and variables come from Penghu. The number of all benefit-cost ratios are over 1.0, represented these plan own their feasibilities to a certain extent. However, every single item inside the part of environmental costs shouldn’t be ignored and ought to be decreased as possible since it stands for damage to the nature.
目次 Table of Contents
目錄
第一章 緒論 1
第一節 研究動機與目的 1
第二節 研究方法與流程 3
一、 研究範圍 3
二、 研究方法 5
三、 研究流程 6
第三節 論文架構 9
第二章 文獻回顧 10
第一節 海洋再生能源發展現況 10
一、 離岸風電 10
二、 波浪發電 13
三、 潮流能轉換 15
四、 臺灣海洋再生能源發展現況 16
第二節 環境影響評估法規與流程 18
一、 環境影響評估概述 18
二、 臺灣海洋再生能源環境影響評估法規與流程 20
第三節 海洋再生能源環境影響 23
一、 工程施工與營運 23
二、 離岸風電 25
三、 波浪發電 26
四、 潮流發電 27
五、 減緩措施 31
六、 臺灣海洋再生能源環境影響評估 33
第四節 環境影響評估與成本效益分析 35
一、 環境影響評估方法 35
二、 成本效益分析之目的與流變 37
三、 成本效益分析理論與方法 39
四、 成本效益分析海洋再生能源環評相關應用 44
第三章 研究方法及操作流程 51
第一節 成本效益分析架構與計算原理 51
一、 模式評估架構 51
二、 計算與操作原理 55
第二節 成本效益分析評估因子與方式 56
一、 模式評估因子 56
二、 各因子評估方式 57
第三節 海洋再生能源成本效益分析模式 84
一、 Fortran程式語言選擇與描述 84
二、 操作步驟與流程圖 85
三、 應用模擬範例 87
第四章 澎湖海洋再生能源環境影響評估 88
第一節 澎湖海域基地背景概況 88
一、 自然環境條件 89
二、 社會經濟條件 92
三、 發展現況 94
第二節 澎湖基地環境參數設定 96
一、 環境參數與變數項目 96
二、 澎湖基地環境參數設定 100
第三節 澎湖海洋再生能源環境影響評估 105
一、 價值轉換 105
二、 加總與決策準則使用 122
三、 敏感度分析 125
四、 研究成果校驗 126
五、 研究成果討論 128
第五章 結論與建議 130
第一節 結論 130
第二節 建議 134
參考文獻 136
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