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博碩士論文 etd-0711115-133905 詳細資訊
Title page for etd-0711115-133905
論文名稱
Title
區域配電系統之綜合資源規劃
Integrated Resource Planning of Regional Distribution Network
系所名稱
Department
畢業學年期
Year, semester
語文別
Language
學位類別
Degree
頁數
Number of pages
99
研究生
Author
指導教授
Advisor
召集委員
Convenor
口試委員
Advisory Committee
口試日期
Date of Exam
2015-07-16
繳交日期
Date of Submission
2015-08-11
關鍵字
Keywords
綜合資源規劃、負載預測、配電系統規劃、需量反應
demand response, Load forecast, distribution system planning, integrated resource planning
統計
Statistics
本論文已被瀏覽 5677 次,被下載 635
The thesis/dissertation has been browsed 5677 times, has been downloaded 635 times.
中文摘要
當配電系統面臨負載持續成長時,需要進行事先規劃,以在適當的時間新增合宜的設備至配電系統中。而由於近年來受到環保意識抬頭,與都市發展快速等影響,對於擴建傳統設備如變壓器、饋線等可說是十分困難,因此,本研究以一綜合資源規劃的方式,有別於上述傳統配電系統規劃,將供給側與需求側能源選項均納入考量,如再生能源、需量反應等,進行配電系統規劃,藉此方式尋求一花費成本最低之投資組合,舒緩負載成長,便可延緩擴建傳統設備的時間。本研究中,模糊推論架構用來對未來電力負載成長進行預測,而除了一般住宅型、商業型、工業型用戶之外,亦將新興發展之電動車負載納入規劃。此配電系統規劃之最佳化問題目標為成本最小化,並須滿足系統設備容量限制等條件,再利用混合整數規劃法求解該問題。研究結果顯示,綜合資源規劃將可有效降低總花費成本,並延遲系統擴建現有設備的時間。
Abstract
Power system planner has to develop a suitable strategy to deal with the load growth. In the past, the system is reinforced by upgrading or installing new equipment. Due to environmental concerns, new technologies such as distributed generation (DG), demand side management (DSM), etc., have been developed and integrated into power grid. Integrated resource planning (IRP) exploits traditional and new strategies from both supply and demand sides. To relieve the pressure caused by the growing load, in this thesis, fuzzy inference scheme is used for load forecasting by considering economic and other factors as input variables. Electric vehicle changing demand is considered. The IRP problem is formulated as an optimization problem to include various system serving capacity enhancement options with least cost. The proposed regional distribution system planning approach is compared with the traditional approach. Study results have shown that IRP can meet the load growth with lower total cost and delay the system expansion requirements.
目次 Table of Contents
目錄
論文審定書 i
誌謝 ii
中文摘要 iii
Abstract iv
目錄 v
圖目錄 vii
表目錄 x
第一章 緒論 1
1.1 研究背景與動機 1
1.2 相關文獻回顧 3
1.3 本論文之成果 11
1.4 論文架構 12
第二章 綜合資源規劃與負載預測 13
2.1綜合資源規劃 14
2.1.1簡介 14
2.1.2供給側方案 16
2.1.3需求側方案 19
2.2模糊邏輯理論應用於小區域負載預測 23
2.2.1模糊邏輯推論架構 23
2.2.2一般負載成長推論規則 26
2.2.3電動車負載成長推論規則 33
2.2.4負載成長預測輸出計算 36
第三章 區域配電系統規劃 39
3.1最佳配電規劃模型建立 39
3.1.1目標函數與限制條件 39
3.1.2 成本計算 42
3.1.3 簡易負載潮流計算 44
3.2最佳化求解方法 48
3.3區域配電系統規劃流程 50
第四章 案例模擬結果分析 52
4.1測試系統架構 52
4.2案例描述 54
4.3模擬結果與討論 56
4.3.1 基礎案例 56
4.3.2 特殊情境 65
第五章 結論及未來展望 81
5.1結論 81
5.2未來研究方向 82
參考文獻 83
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