論文使用權限 Thesis access permission:校內校外均不公開 not available
開放時間 Available:
校內 Campus:永不公開 not available
校外 Off-campus:永不公開 not available
論文名稱 Title |
應用群體建模探討權益相關者之濕地管理願景分析 Stakeholder’s Vision for Wetland Management using Group Model Building Approach |
||
系所名稱 Department |
|||
畢業學年期 Year, semester |
語文別 Language |
||
學位類別 Degree |
頁數 Number of pages |
140 |
|
研究生 Author |
|||
指導教授 Advisor |
|||
召集委員 Convenor |
|||
口試委員 Advisory Committee |
|||
口試日期 Date of Exam |
2011-06-29 |
繳交日期 Date of Submission |
2011-07-12 |
關鍵字 Keywords |
濕地管理、系統動力學、群體建模 Group Model Building, System Dynamic, Wetlands management |
||
統計 Statistics |
本論文已被瀏覽 5748 次,被下載 0 次 The thesis/dissertation has been browsed 5748 times, has been downloaded 0 times. |
中文摘要 |
濕地為全球三大生態系統之一,其具有保水抑洪、調解水患、野生動物棲息地的作用、穩定海岸線等多方面的功能與價值。隨著經濟快速發展、人口增加導致土地資源不敷使用,濕地區域成為競相開發利用之對象,造成濕地面積減少或零碎化,使得整體濕地生態環境劣化及資源枯竭。為避免濕地區域土地不當開發利用繼續蔓延,需就濕地環境之社會經濟、生態環境及管理策略等面向整合考量,以引導其合理利用,方達濕地資源永續發展。 因此,本研究以現今即將面臨轉置成高雄市興達港遊艇產業專區的茄萣濕地為例,使用群體建模方法擷取茄萣濕地區域權益相關者對於濕地轉置成遊艇產業專區之認知與建議。而後,使用系統動力學之動態模擬技術,建立符合茄萣濕地區域現況之動態模式並進行相關情境政策分析。 本研究結果顯示,茄萣濕地採用濕地特定區、人工浮島與補償替代費之單一政策與多重政策組合進行濕地管理時,其管理策略最佳化執行作業分別為單一政策以濕地特定區劃設機制;多重政策組合以濕地特定區與人工浮島之政策組合。同時,政策解析過程中,提供權益相關者了解濕地環境系統作用行為,亦檢核模式行為趨勢與心智模式落差性,促發權益相關者進行事件行為反思與心智模式改善,達到群組於事件行為之共識。 |
Abstract |
Wetland, one of the three major ecosystems on earth, can prevent flood, purify water quality and provide habitat for wildlife; also protects the shore line from erosion, and has many other functions and values. Owing to the economic development and the rapid population growth, the land resource has being inadequate to meet all demands. Thus, coastal wetlands have become the target of development. This tendency causes reduction and fragmentary of wetlands, degradation of ecosystem and depletion of ecological resources. To avoid the improper development on the wetland, it is necessary to integrate considerations over the social economy, ecosystem, and management strategy. Based on the unique feature of the wetland, it is therefore possible to effectively manage the wetland resources for achieving the goal of sustainable development. This study explores the group model building approach which design for the discussion of the various potential effects of the yacht industry park may have on Cheting Wetland. Participants of stakeholders in Cheting had met several times and the structured debates had been organized with them in order to promote the emergence of a consensual view of the main issues and their implications. And then, a system dynamic model was built to evaluate the development in the wetlands zone. The authentic results of the policies and scenario analyses inspected the effectiveness of the designate plans for Cheting Wetland development. Particular Wetland Zone, Artificial Floating Island and In Lieu Fee were adopted as management strategies in Cheting Wetland Zone case. The study concludes that: under single-policy condition, implementation of Particular Wetland Zone is the best management strategy; while under the multi-policy conditions, the combination of Wetland Zone and Artificial Floating Island would have the best managerial performance. Additional benefits of the GMB study include: (1) providing stakeholders with information and knowledge to understand the behavior of wetland environment system; (2) A revealing gap between system behavior patterns and participants’ mental model. Both achievements will further promote the participants to introspect and to improve their mental model, eventually help the whole community to reach consensus about wetland management. |
目次 Table of Contents |
中文摘要 I 英文摘要 II 目 錄 III 圖 目 錄 V 表 目 錄 VIII 第一章 前言 1 1.1 研究動機 1 1.2 研究目的 2 1.3 研究流程 3 1.4 研究範圍與限制 5 第二章 文獻回顧 8 2.1濕地環境之管理 8 2.2群體建模之應用 9 2.3系統動力學之應用 11 第三章 研究方法 15 3.1系統動力學 15 3.1.1系統動力學理論 15 3.1.2系統動力學之組成元件 17 3.1.3系統動力學建模流程 20 3.2群體建模 21 第四章 模式架構與建置 24 4.1濕地管理之評估指標 25 4.2建構量化模擬模式 29 4.2.1社會經濟子系統 29 4.2.2環境狀態子系統 44 4.2.3管理政策子系統 61 第五章 模式驗證與情境分析 66 5.1模式驗證 66 5.2情境及政策分析 70 5.2.1無遊艇專區設置 71 5.2.2遊艇專區設置 73 5.2.3遊艇專區設置下單一政策 77 5.2.4遊艇專區設置下多重政策 93 5.3政策總整理 97 第六章 結論與建議 100 6.1結論 100 6.2建議 103 參考文獻 105 附錄A STELLA程式碼說明 110 意見回覆表 131 |
參考文獻 References |
方偉達、趙淑德,(2007)。濕地公益信託及補償銀行機制之建立。土地問題研究季刊:6(4),2-12。 王聖文,(2004)。以永續觀點探討台南七股居民對濕地發展態度之分析。大葉大學休閒事業管理學系研究所碩士論文。 朱珊玟,(2005)。鰲鼓濕地發展生態旅遊可行性之研究。南華大學環境與藝術學系研究所碩士論文。 吳俊哲,(2006)。日月潭人工浮島設置之效益評估與可行性研究。逢甲大學環境工程與科學學系研究所碩士論文。 巫惠玲,(2003)。福寶濕地發展生態旅遊經濟效益之研究。逢甲大學土地管理學系研究所碩士論文。 李孟璁,(2002)。高雄地區愛河水環境生態復育及水污染防治策略分析。國立中山大學海洋環境及工程學系研究所碩士論文。 林均逸,(2007)。應用系統動力學為基礎整合管理海岸地區地層下陷之研究-以屏東平原為例。國立中山大學海洋環境及工程學系研究所碩士論文。 邱立誠,(2009)。動態系統導向之澎湖縣水資源永續發展之研究。國立中山大學公共事務管理研究所碩士在職專班碩士論文。 邱錦和,(2004)。雙連埤生態浮島技術應用。台灣濕地:49,12-15。 洪豐偉,(2004)。系統動力學為基礎之決策支援系統應用於墾丁南灣海岸地區整合管理之研究。國立中山大學海洋環境及工程學系研究所碩士論文。 徐慈鴻、李貽華、鄒采蘋、蔣慕琰,(2003)。九種台灣常見雜草對臭氧耐受性之比較。中華民國雜草學會會刊:24(2),75-87。 高雄縣政府,(2005)。高雄市興達港遊艇產業專區開發計畫-環境影響說明書。中華顧問工程司。 高雄縣政府主計室,(2010)。高雄縣人口統計分析。高雄縣政府出版。 屠益民、張良政,(2010)。系統動力學:理論與應用。臺北市:智勝文化。 張宛綺,(2005)。七股濕地遊憩體驗與環境認知之研究-以國小學童為例。朝陽科技大學休閒事業管理學系研究所碩士論文。 張鴻斌,(2003)。高雄市都市發展與市中心區水污染之系統動力學研究。國立中山大學公共事務管理學系研究所碩士論文。 曹勝雄、廖秀娟、張德儀、張心美、黃正一,(2000)。陽明山國家公園容許遊憩承載量推估模式之建立。內政部營建署陽明山國家公園八十九年度研究報告。 郭宇智,(2006)。台灣道路建設導入生態補償制度之研究。義守大學土木與生態工程學系研究所碩士論文。 陳佩伶、徐慈鴻、李貽華,(2001)。粒狀污染物與農作物。藥毒所專題報導:62,1-8。 陳函馨,(2002)。以系統動力學建立感潮河川水理與水質模式。國立中山大學海洋環境及工程學系研究所碩士論文。 鍾易達,(2009)。應用系統動態學探討大鵬灣之水質永續管理。國立成功大學海洋科技與事務學系研究所碩士論文。 闕雅文,(1996)。海岸濕地保育與開發之決策分析-以鰲鼓濕地為例。國立中興大學農業經濟學系研究所碩士論文。 蘇懋康,(1988)。系統動力學原理與應用。上海:上海交通大學出版社。 Andersen, D. F., & Richardson, G. P. (1997). Scripts for group model building. System Dynamics Review, 13, 107-129. Arquitt, S., & Johnstone, R. (2008). Use of system dynamics modelling in design of an environmental restoration banking institution. Ecological Economics, 65(1), 63-75. Bendor, T. (2009). A dynamic analysis of the wetland mitigation process and its effects on no net loss policy. Landscape and Urban Planning, 89(1-2), 17-27. Brown, A. (1990). Measuring the effect of aircraft noise on sea birds. Environment International, 16(4-6), 587-592. Carter, W. P. L. (1994). Development of ozone reactivity scales for volatile organic compounds. Journal of the Air & Waste Management Association, 44(7), 881-889. Collinge, S. K. (1996). Ecological consequences of habitat fragmentation: implications for landscape architecture and planning. Landscape and Urban Planning, 36(1), 59-77. Costanza, R., d'Arge, R., De Groot, R., Farber, S., Grasso, M., Hannon, B., et al. (1997). The value of the world's ecosystem services and natural capital. Nature, 387(6630), 253-260. Darley, E. (1966). Studies on the effect of cement-kiln dust on vegetation. J. Air Pollut. Cont. Ass, 16, 145-150. Elias, A. A. (2008). Towards a shared systems model of stakeholders in environmental conflict. International Transactions in Operational Research, 15(2), 239-253. European Commission (2002). Towards environmental performance indicators for the European Union (EU). A European system of environmental indicators, First Publication.. Forrester, J. W., (1968). Principles of System. Cambridge, Massachusetts: MIT Press. Forrester, J.W., & Senge, P. M. (1978). Tests for building confidence in system dynamics models: System Dynamics Group, Sloan School of Management, Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Forrester, J.W. (1994). System Dynamics, System Thinking, and Soft OR. System Dynamics Review, 10(2-3), 245-256. Güneralp, B., & Barlas, Y. (2003). Dynamic modelling of a shallow freshwater lake for ecological and economic sustainability Ecological Modelling, 167(1-2), 155-138. Hines, J. (2004). The “standard method”. Course material - MIT Sloan School of Management: 6. Hungerford, H. R., & Volk, T. L. (1990). Changing learner behavior through environmental education. Journal of environmental education, 21(3), 8-12. Leeming, F. C., Dwyer, W. O., Porter, B. E., & Cobern, M. K. (1993). Outcome research in environmental education: A critical review. The Journal of Environmental Education, 24(4), 8-21. Luna-Reyes, L. F., Durán-Encalada, J. A., & Bandala, E. R. (2009). Exploring Alternatives for Sustainable Development in Tamiahua Wetlands. Paper presented at the The 27rd International Conference of the System Dynamics Society. Maine Department of Environmental Protection (2008). Maine Natural Resource Conservation Program. Martinez-Moyano, I. J., Conrad, S., Cox, A., & Krahe, C. (2007). Modeling Aviation Security Processes:A Group Model Building Approach The 25rd International Conference of the System Dynamics Society. NRC(National Research Council)(1995). Understanding marine biodiversity: a research agenda for the nation. Washington, DC:National Academy Press. Otto, P., & Struben, J. (2004). Gloucester Fishery: insights from a group modeling intervention. System Dynamics Review, 20, 287-312. Pullan, R. A. (1988). A Survey of Past and Present Wetlands of the Western Algarve. Department of Geography, University of Liver-pool, U. K. Reijnen, R., Foppen, R., Braak, C. T., & Thissen, J. (1995). The effects of car traffic on breeding bird populations in woodland. III. Reduction of density in relation to the proximity of main roads. Journal of Applied Ecology, 32(1), 187-202. Rouwette, E. A. J. A., Vennix, J. A. M., & Mullekom, T. (2002). Group model building effectiveness: a review of assessment studies. System Dynamics Review, 18(1), 5-45. Siemer, W. F., & Otto, P. (2005). A group model-building intervention to support wildlife management decisions. Paper presented at the The 23rd International Conference of the System Dynamics Society. Starr, P. J. (1980). Modeling Issues and Decisions in System Dynamics. TIMS Studies in the Management Science, 14, 45-59. Stave, K. A. (2002). Using system dynamics to improve public participation in environmental decisions System Dynamics Review, 18, 139-167. Sterman, J. D. (2000). Business Dynamics: Systems Thinking and Modeling for a Complex World: Irwin/McGraw Hill. Stouffer, P. C., & Bierregaard Jr, R. O. (1995). Use of Amazonian forest fragments by understory insectivorous birds. Ecology, 76(8), 2429-2445. Suchanek. (1994). Temperate coastal marine communities: biodiversity and threats. Amer. Zool., 34, pp. 100-114. Thompson, J., Mueller, P., Fluckiger, W., & Rutter, A. (1984). The effect of dust on photosynthesis and its significance for roadside plants. Environmental Pollution Series A, Ecological and Biological, 34(2), 171-190. Tingsabadh, C., & Pongkijvorasin, S. (2004). Economic Valuation of Mangroves for Improved Usage and Management in Thailand. Developments in Ecosystems, 1. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, (2000). Factor Information Retrieval (FIRE) System, Ver6. Vennix, J. A. M. (1996). Group Model Building: Facilitating Team Learning Using System Dynamics. England: John Wiley & Sons. Vennix, J. A. M. (1999). Group model-building: tackling messy problem. System Dynamics Review 15, 379-401. |
電子全文 Fulltext |
本電子全文僅授權使用者為學術研究之目的,進行個人非營利性質之檢索、閱讀、列印。請遵守中華民國著作權法之相關規定,切勿任意重製、散佈、改作、轉貼、播送,以免觸法。 論文使用權限 Thesis access permission:校內校外均不公開 not available 開放時間 Available: 校內 Campus:永不公開 not available 校外 Off-campus:永不公開 not available 您的 IP(校外) 位址是 18.119.118.97 論文開放下載的時間是 校外不公開 Your IP address is 18.119.118.97 This thesis will be available to you on Indicate off-campus access is not available. |
紙本論文 Printed copies |
紙本論文的公開資訊在102學年度以後相對較為完整。如果需要查詢101學年度以前的紙本論文公開資訊,請聯繫圖資處紙本論文服務櫃台。如有不便之處敬請見諒。 開放時間 available 已公開 available |
QR Code |