Title page for etd-0719108-212340


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URN etd-0719108-212340
Author Cheng-Hong Jiang
Author's Email Address alwaysrunner2003@yahoo.com.tw
Statistics This thesis had been viewed 5067 times. Download 1421 times.
Department Applied Mathematics
Year 2007
Semester 2
Degree Master
Type of Document
Language zh-TW.Big5 Chinese
Title Race time prediction for Taiwan marathoner
Date of Defense 2008-06-19
Page Count 34
Keyword
  • sliced inverse regression
  • marathon
  • multiple regression
  • Abstract Pete Riegel, a well-known sport expert, proposed the formula of race time prediction in 1977. This article discusses whether it is also suitable for Taiwan marathoners. We compiled two hundred and four effective datum by questionary. Some variables possible to affect the running result are added in this work, namely: sex, age, the year of run, height, weight, the race number of marathon, the quantity and the frequency of practices each week. Next, we use multiple regression and sliced inverse regression to increase the accuracy of the running time prediction. The best model, found here has eighty percentage's player with predictive error within fifteen minuates, which is better than the original model by Riegel(1977) with only having sixty-two percentages.
    Advisory Committee
  • Mei-Hui Guo - chair
  • Fu-Chuen Chang - co-chair
  • Ray-Bing Chen - co-chair
  • Kam-Fai Wong - co-chair
  • Mong-Na Lo - advisor
  • Files
  • etd-0719108-212340.pdf
  • indicate access worldwide
    Date of Submission 2008-07-19

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