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博碩士論文 etd-0724109-123150 詳細資訊
Title page for etd-0724109-123150
論文名稱
Title
穩固緩衝體系:北韓的核武
To Stabilize the Buffer System : North Korea's Nuclear Weapon
系所名稱
Department
畢業學年期
Year, semester
語文別
Language
學位類別
Degree
頁數
Number of pages
190
研究生
Author
指導教授
Advisor
召集委員
Convenor
口試委員
Advisory Committee
口試日期
Date of Exam
2009-06-25
繳交日期
Date of Submission
2009-07-24
關鍵字
Keywords
緩衝國、核子武器、地緣政治
Buffer State, Geopolitics, Nuclear Weapon
統計
Statistics
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中文摘要
以往的北韓核武問題研究缺乏一個從傳統地緣政治切入的角度,因此本篇文章將從傳統地緣政治的緩衝國角度,來解釋北韓的核武問題。
核子武器代表著絕對的攻擊力,然而,大國在使用上因為許多的局限,往往不能順利地轉化嚇阻功\\能。但是,小國在使用核子武器時擁有大國所沒有的優勢,所以能夠突破此些侷限順利地轉化嚇阻功能。
北韓能夠運用此些優勢改變以往的地緣政治命運,也就是不再淪為一個毫無抵抗能力的緩衝國,反而可以運用核子武器來穩固整個緩衝體系的穩定,以達到延長和平時期之目的。所以北韓追求核子武器的努力就是一場穩固緩衝體系的過程。但是,這並不表示北韓從此之後便可以高枕無憂,繼承人問題與經濟的崩潰是北韓的兩個阿基里斯腱,兩者都有著破壞整個緩衝體系的風險。
Abstract
Because the past researches of the North Korea’s nuclear problem are devoid of a classical geopolitics approach, this article will explain this problem from the traditional “buffer state” approach.
Nuclear weapons symbolize absolute attack ability. Because of many limitations superpowers cannot smoothly transform nuclear weapons to a deterrence function; however, small countries have advantages that superpowers do not possess in using nuclear weapons so they can break these limitations and favorably transform nuclear weapons to a deterrence function.
North Korea can take these advantages to change the fate of geopolitics in the past, which was a weak buffer state, and use nuclear weapons to stabilize the whole buffer system to achieve the goal of extending the peacetime. Thus, North Korea's very effort to obtain nuclear weapons is the process of stabilizing the buffer system but this does not mean that North Korea can sit without worries. The problem of the successor and the economic breakdown are two Achilles' heels in North Korea, both of which have the risk that will destroy the whole buffer system.
目次 Table of Contents
謝辭.............................................................i
中文摘要.....................................................iii
Abstract......................................................iv
目次.............................................................v
縮寫詞彙對照表.........................................vii
表目次.........................................................viii
圖目次.........................................................ix
第一章 緒論...............................................1
第一節 研究動機與目的.........................1
第二節 文獻回顧.....................................3
第三節 研究方法與途徑.........................14
第四節 研究架構與章節內容.................20
第五節 研究限制.....................................24
第二章 核子武器與小國生存...................27
第一節 戰爭型態轉變下的核武幽靈.......28
第二節 核武戰略之變流...........................36
第三節 轉化嚇阻功能的侷限...................46
第四節 小國嚇阻.......................................55
第五節 突破核武侷限後的地緣政治.......62
第三章 朝鮮半島的歷史與地緣政治.......65
第一節 半島根部的動亂.........................67
第二節 海洋彼岸的不安...........................80
第三節 一七三六蒸汽動力.......................97
第四節 朝鮮半島的地緣政治...................107
第四章 穩固緩衝體系:北韓的核武.......115
第一節 緩衝國...........................................116
表4-1緩衝國列表.......................................120
第二節 穩固緩衝體系:核子彈頭計畫...127
第三節 穩固緩衝體系:彈道飛彈計畫.134
第四節 北韓的阿基里斯腱.......................140
第五節 未來劇本.......................................152
第五章 結論...............................................157
第一節 太陽底下的北韓...........................157
第二節 未來研究趨勢...............................161
參考書目.....................................................162
中文資料.....................................................162
英文資料.....................................................168
日文資料.....................................................177
網路資料.....................................................178
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