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博碩士論文 etd-0814103-164623 詳細資訊
Title page for etd-0814103-164623
論文名稱
Title
台灣選民的議題投票行為-空間理論的探析
Issue-voting behavior in Taiwan-the viewpoints of Spatial Theory
系所名稱
Department
畢業學年期
Year, semester
語文別
Language
學位類別
Degree
頁數
Number of pages
90
研究生
Author
指導教授
Advisor
召集委員
Convenor
口試委員
Advisory Committee
口試日期
Date of Exam
2003-07-31
繳交日期
Date of Submission
2003-08-14
關鍵字
Keywords
方向模型、空間理論、趨近模型、混合模型、議題投票
issue voting, spatial theory, mixed model, proximity model, directional model
統計
Statistics
本論文已被瀏覽 5712 次,被下載 7760
The thesis/dissertation has been browsed 5712 times, has been downloaded 7760 times.
中文摘要
選民的投票抉擇因素,長期以來一般強調三個重要因素:(1)政黨認同﹔(2)候選人取向﹔(3)議題取向。關於其中的「議題取向」,理性選擇學派假定人是「理性的」,追求「自我利益最大化」﹔選民在作投票決定時,會去觀察政黨或候選人在不同議題上的立場,再與自己的立場相對照,從中選出一個最能代表自己立場的政黨或候選人,並投票支持他。而屬於理性選擇學派的「空間理論」(spatial theory),將上述抽象的議題立場和議題立場差異放進一假設的空間之中,以空間中的位置、距離長短或方向加以具體呈現,並由此演繹出選民形成投票抉擇的模型和各種政黨選舉競爭的策略等等。
本文使用國立政治大學選舉研究中心於2000年總統大選後所執行「跨世紀總統選舉中選民投票行為科際整合研究」的資料,直接從「空間理論」的觀點切入,探討台灣選民的議題投票行為。首先,瞭解台灣選民議題立場的空間分布,以及選民對各個政黨議題立場的認知;其次,檢測選民的社經背景與其議題立場的關聯性;最後,檢證空間理論的三個模型,趨近模型、方向模型、RM混合模型的解釋力,來瞭解台灣選民是如何將議題立場轉變成政黨評價。
Abstract
On the subject of what affect voters’ vote choice, political scientists for a long time emphasize three answers: party identification, candidate orientation, and issue orientation. About issue orientation, Rational Choice Theory assumes that human are rational pursuing maximizing self- interests. When voters are making their vote decisions, they would observe the issues positions of competing parties or candidates, comparing with their own positions, and then vote the party or the candidate who can represent their own positions best. Spatial Theory, from Rational Choice Theory, takes those abstract issue positions into some issue space. Both the issue positions of voters and parties could be presented by some points in the space, and the length and direction between the points can represent the differences between issue positions. There are several different models in Spatial Theory, and different models advocate different ways about how voters use the points in issue space to form their evaluations to competing parties or candidates.
In this paper, we take the viewpoints of Spatial Theory to research the issue voting behavior of Taiwanese voters. First, we try to know the spatial distribution of voters’ issue positions. Then we inspect the association between voters’ social back- ground elements and issue position. Finally, we test three models of Spatial Theory, proximity model, directional model, and RM mixed model, to know how Taiwanese voters use issue positions to form their party-evaluation.
目次 Table of Contents
第一章 緒 論 1
第一節 研究動機與目的 1
第二節 議題投票的定義與研究途徑 2
第三節 研究架構與方法 6
第四節 章節安排 12

第二章 議題投票的空間理論 15
第一節 趨近模型 15
第二節 方向模型 19
第三節 混合模型 22
第四節 國內相關實證研究 27

第三章 台灣選民的議題立場 35
第一節 選民議題立場的分布 35
第二節 選民社會背景與議題立場的關聯 47
第三節 選民政黨認同與議題立場的關聯 58

第四章 議題投票空間理論的實證分析 61
第一節 選民對各政黨的效用評價 61
第二節 趨近模型與方向模型的檢證 62
第三節 混合模型的檢證 68

第五章 結 論 71
第一節 研究發現與討論 71
第二節 研究限制與建議 75

參考文獻 77

附錄:調查問卷 85
參考文獻 References
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