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博碩士論文 etd-0814112-105436 詳細資訊
Title page for etd-0814112-105436
論文名稱
Title
所得分配不均對犯罪之影響-臺灣地區實證研究
The Impact of Income Inequality on Crime:The Empirical Study of Taiwan
系所名稱
Department
畢業學年期
Year, semester
語文別
Language
學位類別
Degree
頁數
Number of pages
55
研究生
Author
指導教授
Advisor
召集委員
Convenor
口試委員
Advisory Committee
口試日期
Date of Exam
2012-07-26
繳交日期
Date of Submission
2012-08-14
關鍵字
Keywords
偏誤修正最小平方虛擬變數法、系統性一般動差法、犯罪、動態追蹤資料、所得分配不均
income inequality, system GMM, LSDVC, dynamic panel data, crime
統計
Statistics
本論文已被瀏覽 5749 次,被下載 1108
The thesis/dissertation has been browsed 5749 times, has been downloaded 1108 times.
中文摘要
本文利用1998年至2010年臺灣地區20個縣市的動態追蹤資料,將犯罪分為全般刑案犯罪、竊盜案犯罪與暴力犯罪3種,分別進行所得分配不均程度對3種犯罪影響之實證研究。
實證結果顯示,所得分配不均程度對於全般刑案發生件數、竊盜案發生件數與暴力犯罪發生件數皆有顯著的正向關係,失業率與青壯年人口比例則對3種犯罪皆沒有顯著影響,其他解釋變數至少對1種犯罪有顯著影響。本文實證結果亦支持犯罪預期效用理論與社會迷亂、解組、衝突及緊張理論可用於解釋臺灣地區之犯罪行為。
Abstract
This paper investigates the impact of income inequality on grand total crime, larceny and violent crime by using the dynamic panel data of 20 cities and counties in Taiwan during 1998 to 2010.
The empirical results show that income inequality has a significant positive impact on grand total crime, larceny and violent crime, but unemployment rate and the proportion of the population between 15 and 64 years old both have no significant influence on three kinds of crimes. Moreover the effect of the other explanatory variables is significant on at least one kind of crimes. The empirical results also support that the criminal expected utility theory, social anomic, disorganization, conflict and strain theories are helpful to explain the criminal behavior of Taiwan.
目次 Table of Contents
論文審定書................................................................................i
中文摘要...................................................................................ii
英文摘要..................................................................................iii
第一章 緒論..............................................................................1
第一節 研究動機與目的..........................................................1
第二節 研究範圍與理論基礎..................................................2
第二章 文獻回顧......................................................................8
第一節 遞延的犯罪與所得分配不均對犯罪之影響..............8
第二節 平均每人所得與教育程度高低對犯罪之影響........11
第三節 失業率對犯罪之影響................................................13
第四節 犯罪破獲率與離婚率對犯罪之影響........................17
第三章 資料敘述與模型探討................................................20
第一節 變數來源與定義........................................................20
第二節 敘述統計分析............................................................25
第三節 模型理論探討............................................................30
第四章 實證結果與比較........................................................34
第一節 實證模型說明............................................................34
第二節 全般刑案之實證結果與比較....................................37
第三節 竊盜案之實證結果與比較........................................39
第四節 暴力犯罪之實證結果與比較....................................41
第五章 結論與建議................................................................43
第一節 結論............................................................................43
第二節 建議............................................................................46
參考文獻.................................................................................48
參考文獻 References
一、中文部分
李湧清、蔣基萍(1994),「犯罪與經濟—一個宏觀的時間序列分析」,中央警官學校警政學報,24,127-146。
林明仁、劉仲偉(2006),「失業真的會導致犯罪嗎?以台灣1978年至2003年縣市資料為例」,經濟論文叢刊,34(4),445-483。
姚雅清(2008),「影響犯罪率之社會經濟因素實證分析」,碩士論文,中興大學應用經濟學系。
徐昀(2000),「經濟發展與犯罪─台灣經驗分」,博士論文,政治大學中山人文社會科學研究所。
莊忠柱、楊淑芬(2002),「影響台灣普通刑事犯罪率因素的探討」,環境與管理研究,3(1),77-98。
陳奕璁(2008),「高等教育與犯罪率─台灣實證研究」,碩士論文,臺灣大學經濟學研究所。
劉孟奇、盧敬植(2011),「所得分配不均與犯罪:台灣縣市動態追蹤資料分析」,經濟論文叢刊,39(2),243-276。
鄧煌發(2001),「影響台灣地區近廿年來犯罪問題之社會因素及其未來趨勢預測之研究」,中央警察大學學報,38,183-212。
謝文彥等人(2005),「台灣地區犯罪未來趨向之研究」,臺北大學犯罪防治學報,6,1-128。

二、英文部分
Arellano, M., Bond, S. (1991), " Some tests of specifìcation for panel data : Monte Carlo evidence and an application to employment equations ", Review of Economic Studies, 58, 277-297.
Becker, G. (1968)," Crime and punishment : An economic approach ", Journal of Political Economy, 76(2), 169-217.
Blundell, R., Bond, S. (1998)," Initial conditions and moment restrictions in dynamic panel data models ", Journal of Econometrics, 87, 115-143.
Bruno, G.S.F. (2005), " Estimation and inference in dynamic unbalanced panel-data models with a small number of individuals ", The Stata Journal, 5(4), 473-500.
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Cator,D, Land K. (1985), " Unemployment and crime rates in the post-world war II United States : A theoretical and empirical analysis ", American Sociological Review, 50, 317-332.
Chiu, W.H., Madden, P. (1998), " Burglary and income inequality ", Journal of Public Economics, 69(1), 123-141.
Cook, P., Zarkin, G. (1985), " Crime and the business cycle ", Journal of Legal Studies, 14(1), 115-128.
Edlund, L., Li, H., Yi, J., Zhang, J. (2007), " Sex ratio and crime : Evidence from China's one-child policy ", IZA Discussion Paper No. 3214.
Fajnzylber, P., Lederman, D., Loayza, N. (2002a), " What cause violent crime? ", European Economic Review, 46(7), 1323-1357.
Fajnzylber, P., Lederman, D., Loayza, N. (2002b), " Inequality and violent crime ", Journal of Law and Economics, 45(1), 1-40.
Gutierrez, M.B.S., de Mendonça, M.J.C., Sachsida, A., Loureiro, P.R.A. (2010), " Inequality and criminality revisited : Further evidence from Brazil ", Empirical Economics, 39(1), 93-109
Kelly, M. (2000), " Inequality and crime ", The Review of Economics and Statistics, 82(4), 530-539.
Kiviet, J.F. (1995), " On bias, inconsistency, and efficiency of various estimators in dynamic panel data models ", Journal of Econometrics, 68, 53-78.
Levitt, S. (1996), " The effect of prison population size on crime rate : Evidence from prison overcrowding litigation ", The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 111, 319-351.
Levitt, S. (1997), " Using electoral cycles in police hiring to estimate the effect of police on crime ", American Economic Review, 87, 270-290.
Marvell, T., Moddy, C. (1996), " Specification problems, police levels and crime rates ", Criminology, 34(4), 609–646.
Neumayer, E. (2005), " Inequality and violent crime : Evidence from data on robbery and violent theft ", Journal of Peace Research, 42(1), 101-112.
Roodman, D. (2006), " How to do xtabond2 : An introduction to "Difference" and "System" GMM in Stata ", Center for Global Development Working Paper Number 103. (revised July 2008)
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