Responsive image
博碩士論文 etd-0829106-194123 詳細資訊
Title page for etd-0829106-194123
論文名稱
Title
線上談判決策支援模式 ─ 談判情境分析
Modeling of Online Negotiation Decision Support - Negotiation Context Analysis
系所名稱
Department
畢業學年期
Year, semester
語文別
Language
學位類別
Degree
頁數
Number of pages
70
研究生
Author
指導教授
Advisor
召集委員
Convenor
口試委員
Advisory Committee
口試日期
Date of Exam
2006-06-17
繳交日期
Date of Submission
2006-08-29
關鍵字
Keywords
談判支援、決策支援、演算法、代理人、談判情境、談判議題、談判過程
Negotiation Context, Negotiation Issue, Negotiation Dance, Negotiation Support, Decision Support, Algorithm, Agent
統計
Statistics
本論文已被瀏覽 5752 次,被下載 0
The thesis/dissertation has been browsed 5752 times, has been downloaded 0 times.
中文摘要
在面對快速回應的企業環境中,若需要即時做出合適的談判決策,常常無法對所有的議題做詳細的思考,又或是頻繁的談判互動使談判者無法兼顧或忽略了對手的回應,不但影響了企業在談判中的權益,同時也可能使得談判最後以破裂結束。
因此本研究根據在談判決策中所可能遭遇到的問題,建構不同的談判決策支援模式以幫助談判者順利進行談判,並且撰寫其演算法。在本研究中並且也選擇部份決策支援模式加以實作,同時經由實驗以評估系統成效,而系統評估的結果也說明談判者對於談判決策支援代理人的協助是滿意的。因此未來的研究者可以根據本研究中所提供的代理人演算法實際建置決策支援代理人,並用於談判相關研究。
Abstract
It is getting more important to have quick response during the negotiation process due to the very competitive environment. However, in the negotiation process, it is quite often that negotiators do not have enough time to understand the negotiation issue, the available alternatives and their priorities. In addition, negotiators may also have difficulties to catch path of interactions between negotiators, i.e. negotiation dance. These problems may have negative impact on the negotiation results or even break the negotiation.
The goal of this research is to help negotiators with clearer picture about the negotiation issues and the interactions between negotiators in order to have better negotiation decisions during the negotiation process. First, the challenges in understanding the negotiation issues and the interactions between negotiators are identified. Then, based on the identified challenges, five negotiation decision support agents are designed. The algorithm of each agent is proposed too. In order to evaluate the effectiveness of the proposed agents, prototypes of two agents have been developed and evaluated through an experiment. The result is positive.
目次 Table of Contents
第一章 緒論 1
第一節 研究背景與動機…………………………………………… 1
第二節 研究目的…………………………………………………… 2
第三節 研究流程…………………………………………………… 2
第四節 論文架構…………………………………………………… 3
第二章 文獻探討………………………………………………………… 5
第一節 談判與決策………………………………………………… 5
一 、談判架構………………………………………………… 5
二 、談判策略………………………………………………… 7
三 、談判的障礙……………………………………………… 11
第二節 線上談判系統……………………………………………… 11
一 、談判支援系統…………………………………………… 11
二 、電子化溝通……………………………………………… 12
三 、決策支援系統…………………………………………… 13
第三節 、談判過程………………………………………………… 16
一 、掌控度…………………………………………………… 16
二 、決策信心………………………………………………… 18
三 、滿意度…………………………………………………… 19
第三章 決策支援模式建構……………………………………………… 21
第一節 談判決策情境分析之問題………………………………… 21
一 、了解談判議題…………………………………………… 23
二 、了解談判互動過程……………………………………… 23
第二節 談判決策支援需求………………………………………… 25
第三節 談判決策支援代理人……………………………………… 27

一 、議題分析代理人………………………………………….. 28
二 、出價分析代理人………………………………………….. 30
三 、方案檢核代理人…………………………………………. 30
四 、過程分析代理人…………………………………………. 31
五 、事後協調代理人…………………………………………. 31
第四節 系統架構…………………………………………………… 32
第四章 系統效益評估…………………………………………………… 34
第一節 系統雛形…………………………………………………… 35
一 、系統環境與平台………………………………………… 35
二 、基本談判系統功能……………………………………… 36
三 、出價分析代理人………………………………………… 38
四 、過程分析代理人………………………………………… 41
第二節 系統效益評估……………………………………………… 46
一 、實驗者…………………………………………………… 46
二 、談判情境………………………………………………… 46
三 、實驗操作………………………………………………… 46
四 、實驗流程………………………………………………… 47
第三節 資料分析結果……………………………………………… 48
第五章 結論與建議……………………………………………………… 51
第一節 結論………………………………………………………… 51
第二節 研究貢獻…………………………………………………… 51
一、學術上的貢獻……………………………………………… 51
二、實務上的貢獻……………………………………………… 52
第三節 研究限制…………………………………………………… 52
第四節、未來研究建議……………………………………… 52
參考文獻…………………………………………………………………… 54

圖目錄
圖 1-1、研究流程圖……………………………………………………… 3
圖 2-1、談判背景與談判互動過程……………………………………… 5
圖 2-2、策略組合結果…………………………………………………… 10
圖 2-3、談判支援系統架構……………………………………………… 12
圖 2-4、談判支援系統架構……………………………………………… 12
圖 3-1、談判情境與談判互動過程……………………………………… 22
圖 3-2、談判過程中各參數的關係……………………………………… 24
圖 3-3、系統架構圖……………………………………………………… 33
圖 4-1、線上談判進行示意圖…………………………………………… 35
圖 4-2、系統留言畫面…………………………………………………… 37
圖 4-3、談判歷史紀錄…………………………………………………… 37
圖 4-4 對手最新訊息………………………………….………………… 38
圖 4-5、各議題底限輸入畫面…………………………………………… 39
圖 4-6、預設的排序結果………………………………………………… 39
圖 4-7、以休假天數優先的排序結果…………………………………… 40
圖 4-8、考慮多個議題優先順序的排序結果……………………………. 41
圖 4-9、雙方互動過程…………………………………………………… 42
圖 4-10、王經理第一次出價…………………………………………… 42
圖 4-11、當王經理出價後,施先生的圖形……………………….…… 43
圖 4-12、王經理的第二次出價……………………….………………… 43
圖 4-13、王經理的第二次出價後,施先生的觀點……………………. 43
圖 4-14、施先生的第二次出價………………………………………… 44
圖 4-15、施先生的第二次出價後,王經理的觀點…………………….. 44
圖 4-16、王經理的第三次出價……………………….………………… 44
圖 4-17、王經理的第三次出價後,施先生的觀點……………………. 44
圖 4-18、施先生的第三次出價……………………….………………… 45

圖 4-19、施先生的第三次出價後,王經理的觀點…………………….. 45
圖 4-20、談判流程…..…………………………………………………… 47
表目錄
表2-1、談判相關網站……………………………………………………… 16
表3-1、各談判階段任務未完成時發生的問題…………………………… 25
表3-2、根據不同問題所產生的功能需求………………………………… 26
表3-3、各自動化代理人的功能…………………………………………… 27
表4-1、相關軟硬體及開發工具…………………………………………… 36
表4-2、問卷原文…………………………..……………………………… 48
表4-3、各組別統計資料………………..………………………………… 49
表4-4、因素分析結果…………………..………………………………… 49
表4-5、出價分析代理人各構面之T檢定..……………………………… 50
表4-6、過程分析代理人各構面之T檢定..……………………………… 50
參考文獻 References
中文部分
1. 高啟中,從談判過程探索談判結果之徵兆,國立中山大學資訊管理研究所碩士論文,民國94年
2. 梁定澎,決策支援系統與企業智慧,智勝文化事業有限公司,2004

英文文獻
1. Alter, S., “A Taxonomy of Decision Support Systems,” Sloan Management Review 1977, Vol. 19, No. 1, pp. 39-56
2. Arunachalam, V. , and Dilla, W.N. , “Judgment Accuracy and Outcome in Negotiation: A Causal Modeling Analysis of Decision-Aiding Effect,” Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes /March 1995, Vol. 61, No. 3, pp. 289-304
3. Baek, J.G., and Kim, C.O., “Learning single-issue negotiation strategies using
hierarchical clustering method,” Expert Systems with Applications 2006(IN PRESS)
4. Bailey, J.E., and Pearson, S.W., “Development of A Tool for Measuring and Analyzing Computer User Satisfaction,” Management Science 1983, Vol. 29, No. 5, pp. 530-545
5. Barkhi, R., Jacob, V.S., and Pirkul, H., “An Experimental Analysis of Face to Face versus Computer Mediated Communication Channels,” Group Decision and Negotiation 1999, Vol. 8, pp. 325-347
6. Bharati, P. , and Chaudhury, A. , ”An empirical investigation of decision-making
satisfaction in web-based decision support system,” Decision Support System 2004, Vol. 37, pp. 187-197
7. Bichler, M. , and Kersten, G. , Strecker, S. , “Towards a Structured Design of Electronic Negotiation,” Group Decision and Negotiation 2003, Vol. 12, pp. 311-335
8. Briggs, P., Burford, B., Dracup, C., “Modelling self-confidence in users of a
computer-based system showing unrepresentative design,” International Journal of Human-Computer Studies 1998, Vol. 49, pp. 717-742
9. Bui, T. , "Building DSS for Negotiators: A Three-Step Design Process,” IEEE
Transactions 1992, pp. 164-173
10. Chu, P.C., and Spires, E.E., “Perceptions of accuracy and effort of decision strategies,” Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Process 2003, Vol. 91, pp. 203-214
11. Coskun, E., and Grabowski, M., “Software complexity and its impacts in embedded
intelligent real-time systems,” The Journal of System and Software 2005, Vol. 78, pp. 128-145
12. Delaney, M.M., Foroughi, A., and Perkins, W.C., “An empirical study of the efficacy of a computerized negotiation support system(NSS),” Decision Support Systems 1997, Vol. 20, pp. 185-197
13. Dennis, A.R., and Kinney, S.T., “Testing Media Richness Theory in the New Media: The Effects of Cues, Feedback, and Task Equivocality,” Information Systems Research /Septemper 1998, Vol. 9, No. 3, pp. 256-273
14. Drolet A.L., and Morris M.W., “Rapport in Conflict Resolution: Accounting for How Face-to-Face Content Fosters Mutual Cooperation in Mixed-Motive Conflicts,” Journal of Experimental Social Psychology 2000, Vol. 36, pp. 26-50
15. Fjermestad, J., and Hiltz, S.R., “An Assessment of Group Support Systems Experimental Research: Methodology and Results,” Journal of Management Information Systems 1999, Vol. 17, No. 3, pp. 7-179
16. Flanchec, Alice le, “How to Reduce Uncertainty in a Context of Innovation: The Case of IBM’s Negotiation of European Works Council,” International Negotiation 2004, Vol. 9, pp. 271-289
17. Foroughi, A., "Minimizing Negotiation Process Losses with Computerized Negotiation Support," The Journal of Applied Business Research 1998 Vol. 14, Issue. 4 pp. 15-26
18. Foroughi, A., Perkins, W.C., and Jelassi, M.T., “An Empirical Study of an Interactive, Session-Oriented Computerized Negotiation Support System (NSS),”Group Decision and Negotiation 1995, Vol. 4, pp. 485-512
19. Frese, M., “Theory of control and complexity: implication for software design and integration of computer systems into the work place,” Psychological issues of human computer interaction in the work place 1987, Holland: Elsevier Science Publishers
20. Galin, A., Gross, M., Gosaljer, G., “E-Negotiation versus Face-To-Face Negotiation: What Has Changed – If Anything?,” Working Paper /May 2002, No. 8
21. Geller, E.S. and Pitz, G.F., “Confidence and Decision Speed in the Revision of Opinion,” Organizational Behavior and Human Performance 1968, Vol. 3, pp. 190-201
22. Gillespie, J.J, Brett J.M., Weingart, L.R., “interdependence, social motives, and outcome satisfaction in multiparty negotiation,”European Journal of Social Psychology 2000, Vol. 30, pp. 779-797
23. Hafner, Gerhard, “The Use of Analytical Tools in International Negotiations: A Practitioner’s Perspective,” Theory and Decision /May 1993, Vol. 34, No. 2, pp. 329-343
24. Harmon, J., “Electronic Meetings and Group Conflict: Effects of a Policy-Modeling Performance Support System and an Audio Communication Support System on Satisfaction and Agreement,” Group Decision and Negotiation 1998, Vol. 7, pp. 131-155
25. Hollingshead A.B., “The Rank-Order Effect in Group Decision Making,” Organizational Behavior and Human Decision process 1996 December, Vol. 68, No. 3, pp. 181-193
26. Holsapple, C., Lai, H.C., and Whinston, A.B.,“A Formal Basis for Negotiation SupportSystem Research,” Group Decision and Negotiation 1998, Vol. 19, pp. 203-227
27. Holsapple, C., Lai, H.C., and Whinston, A.B., “Implication of Negotiation Theory for Research and Development of Negotiation Support System,” Group Decision and Negotiation 1996, Vol. 6, Issue. 3, pp. 255-274
28. Ives, B., Olson, M.H., and Baroudi, J.J., “The Measurement of User Information Satisfaction,” Communications of the ACM 1983, Vol. 26, No. 10, pp. 785-793
29. Kersten G.E., “E-negotiation systems: Interaction of people and technologies to resolve conflicts,” UNESCAP Third Annual Forum on Online Dispute Resolution 2004
30. Kersten, G.E., “Negotiation Support: Development of Representations and Reasoning,”Theory and Decision /May 1993, Vol. 34, No. 3, pp. 293-311
31. Kersten, G.E., and Noronha, S.J., “WWW-based negotiation support: design, implementation, and use,” Decision Support System 1999, Vol. 25, pp. 135-154
32. Klein, N.M., “Utility and Decision Strategies: A Second Look at the Rational Decision Maker,”Organization Behavior and Human Performance 1983, Vol. 31, pp. 1-25
33. Lax, D.A. and Sebenius, J.K.(1986) The Manager as Negotiator. New York: Free Press
34. Lim, J., Gan, B., and Chang, T.T., “A Survey on NSS Adoption Intention,” Proceedings of The 35th Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences 2002
35. Lim, J.L.H., “Multi-stage negotiation support: a conceptual framework,” INFORMATION AND SOFTWARE TECHNOLOGY 1999, Vol. 41, pp. 249-255
36. Lim, L. and Benbasat, I., “A Theoretical Perspective of Negotiation Support Systems,” Journal of Management Information Systems /Winter 1993, Vol. 9, No. 3, pp. 27-44
37. Lucas, H.C., “A Descriptive Model of Information Systems in the Context of the Organizational,” Proceeding of the Wharton Conference on Research on Computers in Organizations, in Data Base, 1973, Vol. 5, No. 2, pp. 27-39
38. Martinez, J.C., “Perceived Control and Feedback in Judgment and Memory,” Journal of Research in Personality 1994, Vol. 28, pp. 374-381
39. Murnighan, J.K., Babcock, L., Thompson, L., and Pillutla, M., “The Information Dilemma in Negotiations: Effects of Experience, Incentives, and Integrative potential,” The International Journal of Conflict Management 1999, Vol. 10, No. 4, pp. 313-339
40. Neale, M.A., Bazerman, M.H., “Perspectives for Understanding Negotiation,” Journal of Conflict Resolution /March 1985, Vol. 29, No. 1, pp. 33-55
41. Odell, John S., “Creating Data on International Negotiation Strategies, Alternatives and Outcomes,” International Negotiation 2002, Vol. 7, pp. 39-52
42. Olekalns, M., Smith, P.L., and Walsh, T., “The Process of Negotiating: Strategy and Timing as Predictors of Outcomes,” Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes 1996, Vol. 68, No. 1, pp. 68-77
43. Pearson, J. M., and Shim, J. P. , “An empirical investigation into decision support systems capabilities: A proposes taxonomy,” Information & Management 1994, Vol. 27, pp. 45-57
44. Purdy, J.M., and Nye, P., “The Impact of Communication media on Negotiation Outcomes,”The International of Conflict Management 2000, Vol. 11, No. 23, pp. 162-187
45. Raiffa, H., (1982) The art and science of negotiation. Cambridge: Harvard Univ. Press.
46. Scott, William A., “Cognitive Complexity and Cognitive Balance,” Sociometry /Mar 1963, Vol. 26, No. 1, pp. 66-74
47. Seigal, S. and L. FOURAKER (1960) Bargaining and Group Decision Making: Experiments in Bilateral Monopoly. New York: McGraw-Hill
48. Sieck, W., and Yates, J.F., “Exposition Effects on Decision Making: Choice and Confidence in Choice,” Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes 1997, Vol. 70, No. 3, pp. 207-219
49. Singh, D.T., “Incorporating cognitive aids into decision support systems: the case of the strategy execution process,” Decision Support System 1998, Vol. 24, pp. 145-163
50. Singh, D.T., and Ginzberg, M.J., “An Empirical Investigation of the Impact of Process Monitoring on Computer-Mediated Decision-Making Performance,” Organizational Behavior and Human Decision processes 1996, Vol. 67, No. 52, pp. 156-169
51. Spector, B.I., “Analytical Support to Negotiations: An Empirical Assessment,” Group Decision and Negotiation 1997, Vol. 6, pp. 421-436
52. Spector, B.I., “Decision Analysis for Practical Negotiation Application,” Theory and Decision /May 1993, Vol. 34, No. 3, pp. 183-199
53. Sullivan, B.A., O’Connor, K.M., Burris, E.R., “Negotiation confidence: The impact of self-efficacy on tactics and outcomes,” Journal of Experimental Social Psychology 2005
54. Swaab, R., Postmes, T., Neijens, P., “Negotiation Support Systems: Communication and Information as Antecedents of Negotiation Settlement,” International Negotiation 2004, Vol. 9, pp. 59-78
55. Swaab, R.I., Postmes, T., Neijens, P., Kiers, M.H., and Dumav, A., “Multiparty
Negotiation Support: The Role of Visualization's Influence on the Development of Shared Mental Models,” Journal of management Information System 2002, Vol. 19, No. 1, pp. 129-150
56. Swann, W.B., “Seeking ‘Truth,’Finding Despair: Some Unhappy Consequences of a Negative Self-Concept,” Current Directions in Psychological Science 1992, Vol. 1, pp. 15-21
57. Thompson, L., and Deharpport, T., “Social Judgment, Feedback, and Interpersonal Learning in Negotiation,” Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes 1994, Vol. 58, pp. 327-345
58. Todd, P., and Benbasat, I., “Evaluating the Impact of DSS, Cognitive Effort, and Incentives on Strategy Selection,” Information System Research /December 1999, Vol. 10, No. 4, pp. 356-374
59. Todd, P. and Benbasat, I., “The Influence of Decision Aids on Choice Strategies: An Experimental Analysis of the Role of Cognitive Effort,” Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Process 1994, Vol. 60, pp. 36-74eee
60. Turban, E., “Decision Support Systems and Expert Sytems,”Prentice Hall, 1995
61. Vician C., and Desanctis, G., “The Impact of Role to Training in a User-Driven Group Support System Environment,” Group Decision and Negotiation 2000, Vol. 9, pp. 275-296
62. White, S.B., and Neale, M.A., “The Role of Negotiator Aspirations and Settlement Expectancies in Bargaining Outcomes,” Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Process 1994, Vol. 57, pp. 303-317
63. Yuan, Y., Head, M., and Du, M., “The Effects of Multimedia Communication on Web-Based Negotiation,” Group Decision and Negotiation 2003, Vol. 12, pp. 89-109
64. Zachary, W., “A Cognitively Based Functional Taxonomy of Decision Support Techniques,” HUMAN-COMPUTER INTERACTION 1986, Vol. 2, pp. 25-63
電子全文 Fulltext
本電子全文僅授權使用者為學術研究之目的,進行個人非營利性質之檢索、閱讀、列印。請遵守中華民國著作權法之相關規定,切勿任意重製、散佈、改作、轉貼、播送,以免觸法。
論文使用權限 Thesis access permission:校內校外均不公開 not available
開放時間 Available:
校內 Campus:永不公開 not available
校外 Off-campus:永不公開 not available

您的 IP(校外) 位址是 3.149.229.253
論文開放下載的時間是 校外不公開

Your IP address is 3.149.229.253
This thesis will be available to you on Indicate off-campus access is not available.

紙本論文 Printed copies
紙本論文的公開資訊在102學年度以後相對較為完整。如果需要查詢101學年度以前的紙本論文公開資訊,請聯繫圖資處紙本論文服務櫃台。如有不便之處敬請見諒。
開放時間 available 已公開 available

QR Code