當政府決定能源政策時，必須先了解能源與經濟成長跟二氧化碳排放之間的因果關係，本研究將能源分為核能跟可再生能源來進行細部探討。
本研究利用單根檢定、最適落後期數、共整合檢定、向量誤差修正模型、Granger因果關係檢定來分析探討台灣於1991年~2007年間經濟成長、二氧化碳排放量、核能消費與可再生能源消費四者之間的因果關係。
實證結果得出，二氧化碳排放量會影響經濟成長但經濟成長不影響二氧化碳排放量，可知經濟成長和二氧化碳排放量具有單向因果關係；核能消費量會影響經濟成長但經濟成長不影響核能消費量，可知經濟成長與核能消費量具有單向因果關係。
可再生能源消費量不會影響經濟成長且經濟成長不會影響可再生能源消費量，可知經濟成長與可再生能源消費量無因果關係；核能消費量不會影響二氧化碳排放量但二氧化碳排放量會影響核能消費量，可知二氧化碳排放量與核能消費量具有單向因果關係。
可再生能源消費量會影響二氧化碳排放量但二氧化碳排放量不影響可再生能源消費量，可知二氧化碳排放量與可再生能源消費量具有單向因果關係；可再生能源消費量不會影響核能消費量且核能消費量也不會影響可再生能源消費量，可知可再生能源消費量與核能消費量無因果關係

When the government decided to energy policy, we must first understand the energy and economic growth with a causal link between carbon dioxide emissions, this study will be divided into nuclear energy with renewable energy sources to be discussed in detail.
In this study, unit root test, the optimal lag length, cointegration test, vector error correction model, Granger causality test to analyze in Taiwan in 1991 to 2007 economic growth, carbon emissions, nuclear energy consumption and renewable energy consumption four the causal relationship between.
The empirical results obtained , carbon dioxide emissions will affect economic growth , but economic growth does not affect carbon dioxide emissions , we can see economic growth and carbon dioxide emissions with unidirectional causality ; nuclear energy consumption will affect economic growth , but economic growth does not affect the nuclear energy consumption , shows that economic growth and consumption of nuclear energy with one-way causal relationship.
Renewable energy consumption without affecting economic growth and economic growth does not affect the consumption of renewable energy sources , we know that economic growth and consumption of renewable energy no causal relationship ; nuclear energy consumption does not affect carbon dioxide emissions , but carbon dioxide emissions will affect nuclear energy consumption , CO2 emissions shows that nuclear energy consumption unidirectional causality.
Renewable energy consumption will affect the carbon dioxide emissions of carbon dioxide emissions , but does not affect the consumption of renewable energy sources , we know that carbon dioxide emissions and renewable energy consumption has a unidirectional causality ; renewable energy consumption without affecting nuclear energy consumption and nuclear Energy consumption does not affect the amount of renewable energy consumption , renewable energy consumption shows that nuclear energy consumption with no causal relationship .

論文審定書．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．i
誌謝．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．ii
中文摘要．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．iii
英文摘要．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．iv
目錄．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．v
圖目錄．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．vi
表目錄．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．vii
第一章、 緒論．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．1
第一節 研究背景．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．． 1
第二節 研究動機．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．． 2
第三節 研究目的．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．． 3
第四節 研究步驟．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．． 4
第五節 研究架構．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．． 5
第二章、 文獻回顧．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．． 6
第一節 國外文獻回顧．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．． 6
第二節 國內文獻回顧．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．． 8
第三章、 研究方法．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．． 10
第一節 單根檢定．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．12
第二節 最適落後期數．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．15
第三節 共整合檢定．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．16
第四節 向量誤差修正模型．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．20
第五節 Granger因果關係檢定．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．． 20
第四章、 資料說明與實證結果分析．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．． 23
第一節 資料說明．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．23
第二節 單根檢定．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．23
第三節 最適落後期數．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．24
第四節 共整合檢定．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．24
第五節 向量誤差修正模型．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．25
第六節 Granger因果關係檢定．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．． 26
第五章、 結論與建議．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．． 27
第一節 結論．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．27
第二節 建議．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．28
參考文獻．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．29

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